Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

Mathukumalli Vidyasagar Headshot Photo
First Name: 
Mathukumalli
Last Name: 
Vidyasagar

Mathukumalli Vidyasagar’s groundbreaking work addressing control system theory, paired with his ability to present complex ideas in a clear, concise manner, have helped establish him as a pioneer in the research community. Dr. Vidyasagar designed the method of stable factorization, a fundamental tool in the problem of robust stabilization. He began his career as a professor, spending two decades in academia before being recruited by India’s Department of Defence to create a new R&D institute. Following his work in the government sector, Dr. Vidyasagar joined Tata Consultancy Services, India’s largest information technology services company, where he has built a leading industrial research and development group. A Fellow of the IEEE, he also holds fellowships with the Indian Academy of Sciences, the Indian National Science Academy and the Third World Academy of Sciences. During his career, Dr. Vidyasagar has received several awards, including the 2000 Bode Lecture Prize from the IEEE and the Distinguished Service Citation from the University of Wisconsin.  

Contact Information
Affiliation: 
University of Texas at Dallas
Position: 
CSS Board of Governors, term ending 31 December 2013 (elected); Award Recipient

Location

Texas
United States

Distinguished Lecture Program

Talk Title: Predicting Extreme Events in Finance, Internet Traffic, and Weather: Use of Heavy-Tailed Distributions

As far back as 1963, Beniot Mandelbrot (who sadly passed away just a few weeks ago) pointed out that asset price movements in the real world don't follow the Gaussian distribution.  Instead they are "heavy-tailed" -- that is, they display a kind of self-similarity and scale-invariance.  Since then, similar patterns have been observed in extreme weather such as rainfall, and more recently, in Internet traffic.  Recent research in "pure" probability theory shows that heavy-tailed random variables have some very unusual properties.  For instance, if we average many observations of such variables, the averages move in a few large bursts instead of moving smoothly.  Such behavior has indeed been observed in the stock market.

The pervasiveness of heavy-tailed distributions in so many diverse arenas has implications for modeling, and risk mitigation. How do we design Internet traffic networks and storage servers if the volume of traffic is heavy-tailed?  How do we hedge our equity positions if asset prices move in a heavy-tailed manner? 

In this talk I will describe the issues involved through a combination of intuitive arguments, visualizations, and formal mathematics.  My hope is to inspire practicing engineers to become familiar with this fascinating class of models, and theoretical researchers to study the many open problems that still remain.

Award Recipient